2024-10-24

ROTTERDAM/ANTWERP — This first-of-its-kind investigation shows how much fossil fuels will be produced by Dutch and Belgium oil refineries between now and the year 2050. When burned, at least 3.9 million kilotons of carbon will be released into the atmosphere - emissions that correspond to hundreds of thousands of heat-related deaths due to the effects of climate change.

The ports of Rotterdam and Antwerp house four of the six largest crude oil refineries in Europe. Their owners, among them Shell, BP, Total and ExxonMobil, are planning to make their factories carbon-neutral by 2050 as the EU phases out fossil fuels to combat climate change.

However, the refineries have no plans from stopping the production of fossil transport fuels like diesel, gasoline, kerosine, LPG or heavy fuel oil. As long as they export their oil products, the production of fossil fuels is allowed by current climate policies. Even in 2050 they plan to refine large amounts of crude oil, and export them to countries that haven’t made the energy transition just yet - most likely climate-vulnerable countries in the Global South. For climate change it doesn't matter where the carbon dioxide is emitted.

These oil refineries together are expected to maintain 49 to 74 percent of current fossil production levels. In the next 25 years the plans add up to 1.3 million kilotons of oil products. 

Photo by Vers Beton, Yassmina Berrag - Toekomst van oliestad Rotterdam

Team members

Adrian Estrada

Adrián Estrada is a Dutch-Peruvian investigative journalist.

Adrián Estrada

Steven Vanden Bussche

Steven Vanden Bussche (1979) is an investigative journalist at Apache.

Steven Vanden Bussche
Media

Apache

Apache is a Belgian platform for investigative journalism, in-depth reporting, and analysis. 

Mentor

Kieran Guilbert

Kieran Guilbert is an award-winning journalist and editor based in London.

Kieran Guilbert
Supported
€5,800 allocated on 23/07/2024
ID
CBL/2024/PLUPRO/105
Grant

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